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Practice: probability and statistics

Practice: probability and statistics

1

A youth movement has 250 members:

Year9101112
Members80706040

One member is drawn to go on a trip abroad. What is the probability that the member drawn is:

a

in Year 10?

    / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

    / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

    b

    not in Year 12?

      / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

      / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

      c

      in Year 11 or above?

        / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

        / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

        2

        A survey asked 500 pupils whether they had breakfast, and whether they felt tired at 10:00:

        TiredNot tiredTotal
        Had breakfast60240300
        Did not90110200
        Total150350500
        a

        A pupil is chosen at random from all the pupils in the survey. What is the probability that they felt tired?

          / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

          / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

          b

          What is the probability that a pupil who had breakfast felt tired?

            / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

            / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

            c

            What is the probability that a pupil who did not have breakfast felt tired?

              / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

              / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

              d

              What conclusion can be drawn from the survey, and what cannot? Explain.

              3

              The school bus is late with probability 14\displaystyle \frac{1}{4}, and each day does not depend on the day before.
              Two days are checked.

              Write the probabilities on the branches and each path’s probability.
              What is the probability that the bus is late on at least one of the days?

                / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

                / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

                4

                A box holds 10 batteries: 8 good and 2 dead.
                Two batteries are taken at random, without putting back.

                Write the probabilities on the branches and each path’s probability.
                What is the probability that both batteries are good?

                  / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

                  / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

                  5

                  5,000 people are tested.
                  2% of them have a disease.
                  The test comes out positive for 90% of those who are ill.
                  For 2% of the healthy it comes out positive by mistake.

                  a

                  For how many ill people will the test be positive?

                    / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

                    / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

                    b

                    For how many healthy people will the test be positive?

                      / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

                      / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

                      c

                      What is the probability that a person whose test is positive is really ill?

                        / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

                        / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

                        d

                        Why is the probability in part c so small, though the test finds 90% of those who are ill?

                        6

                        A factory checked 2,500 light bulbs, and 45 of them were faulty.

                        a

                        Estimate the probability that a bulb from the factory is faulty.

                          / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

                          / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

                          b

                          A shop ordered 40,000 bulbs. How many faulty bulbs are expected in the delivery?

                            / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

                            / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

                            c

                            The factory advertises: “Fewer than one bulb in 50 is faulty”. Does the check support it? Explain.

                            7

                            On 50 days the forecast was “20% rain”.
                            It rained on 11 of those days.

                            a

                            What is the relative frequency of the rainy days?

                              / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

                              / – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power

                              b

                              Does the forecast fit what happened? Explain.