Practice: probability
Practice: probability
A device has three parts, and it works only when all three are in order.
The probability that a part is in order is , whatever the other parts do.
Write the probabilities on the branches and each path’s probability.
What is the probability that the device works?
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
What is the probability that at least one part is faulty?
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
A drawer holds 4 black socks and 6 white ones.
In the dark Dan takes out one sock, and then another.
Write the probabilities on the branches and each path’s probability.
Mark the paths of the event “both socks are the same colour”, and find its probability.
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
A survey asked 250 teenagers whether they use their phone in the half hour before going to sleep, and whether they fall asleep within 30 minutes:
| Fall asleep within 30 minutes | Take longer | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Use the phone | 72 | 108 | 180 |
| Do not | 49 | 21 | 70 |
| Total | 121 | 129 | 250 |
A teenager is chosen at random from all the participants. What is the probability that they fall asleep within 30 minutes?
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
What is the probability of falling asleep within 30 minutes, given that the phone is used before sleep?
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
What is the probability of falling asleep within 30 minutes, given that the phone is not used before sleep?
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
Are the events “uses the phone before sleep” and “falls asleep within 30 minutes” dependent? Explain.
An alarm system has several sensors.
Each sensor detects a burglar with probability , whatever the other sensors do.
The system has 3 sensors. What is the probability that at least one of them detects a burglar?
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
How many sensors are needed at least, for the probability that at least one of them detects a burglar to be or more? Try different numbers of sensors, and write down the calculations.
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
At the school fair 400 raffle tickets were sold, at 10 ₪ each.
The raffle has one prize of 1,000 ₪, five prizes of 100 ₪ and twenty prizes of 20 ₪.
Work out the expected prize per ticket.
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
Work out the expected gain of someone who buys one ticket.
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
How much money is left for the school after it has given out the prizes?
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
30% of a company’s employees come to work by bus.
Of those who come by bus, 40% are late at least once a week.
Of the others, 10% are late at least once a week.
An employee is chosen at random. What is the probability that they come by bus and are late at least once a week?
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
What is the probability that an employee chosen at random is late at least once a week?
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
An employee who is late at least once a week is chosen at random. What is the probability that they come by bus?
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – check and a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power
/ – fraction bar · Tab or the arrows – between numerator and denominator, then a note above or below · Enter – a new line · * – times · ^ – power, ↓ – end of the power